Constitutional amendments
Statewide questions on every Florida ballot. Each needs at least 60% "Yes" to pass. Arguments are attributed to the organizations and officials making them; this guide takes no position.
Budget Stabilization Fund
Official ballot summary
Proposing an amendment to the State Constitution to increase the amount of funds that may be retained in the budget stabilization fund from 10% to 25% of general revenue collections, require the legislature to transfer the lesser of $750 million or the amount required to reach 25% of the general revenue collections each year unless certain conditions are met, and allow the legislature to withdraw funds for critical state needs.
VERIFIED verbatim against the Division of Elections booklet PDF and the Sumter County sample ballot (Sept. 17, 2026). Earlier text in this file spelled out 'percent' and capitalized 'Legislature'; the official text uses '10% to 25%', 'the legislature' and '25% of the general revenue collections'.
A "Yes" vote means
A YES vote raises the constitutional cap on the state's rainy-day reserve (the Budget Stabilization Fund) from 10% to 25% of general revenue collections; requires the Legislature to deposit each year the lesser of $750 million or the amount needed to reach the cap, except in a year when the fund is drawn down for an emergency or revenue shortfall, or (no more than once every five years, by a two-thirds vote of each house) when the Legislature finds a critical state need that exceeds the transfer; and allows the Legislature to withdraw money for a nonrecurring 'critical state need' when the fund's principal exceeds 15% of general revenue collections and two-thirds of each house approves, in addition to existing withdrawals for emergencies and revenue shortfalls (LWVFL analysis of the amendment text, July 21, 2026).
A "No" vote means
A NO vote keeps the current constitutional structure: the fund is capped at 10% of general revenue collections, and existing rules for deposits and withdrawals (for emergencies and revenue shortfalls) remain unchanged.
Estimated fiscal impact
Legislatively referred amendments do not carry a Financial Impact Estimating Conference statement. The League of Women Voters of Florida's analysis (July 21, 2026) summarizes the legislative fiscal statement as 'indeterminate, but likely insignificant' for the state. The measure directs up to $750 million a year of general revenue into the fund until the 25% cap is reached, which reduces general revenue available for other spending or tax cuts in those years; the FY 2025-26 state budget already set aside a $750 million deposit contingent on voter approval (Florida TaxWatch budget summary, search snippet). For FY 2024-25 the fund held about 9.3% of general revenue collections (LWVFL analysis).
Recent developments
- 2026-10-23 The League of Women Voters of Florida's VOTE411 synopsis lists the Florida Education Association and the League of Women Voters of Florida as opponents of Amendment 1. A WUWF explainer (Oct. 23) gives the same opponents, plus Gov. DeSantis and Americans for Tax Reform; no second source was found for the Americans for Tax Reform listing.
- 2026-10-15 Poll: Stetson University (field Oct. 1-9; 826 Florida adults including 716 registered voters; opt-in panel, reported precision about +/-4.2 points for likely voters) found Amendment 1 at 46% support, 30% opposed and 23% undecided. Passage requires 60%.
- 2026-09-30 The Orlando Sentinel and South Florida Sun-Sentinel editorial boards recommended No on Amendments 1 and 2 in Sept. 30 editorials; the Sun-Sentinel wrote that Amendments 1 and 2 'are less publicized but equally worthy of your "no" vote.' WLRN's Oct. 23 voter-guide roundup also lists the Sun-Sentinel as No on all three amendments.Sources: How to vote on 2026 amendments, according to 5 Florida news… (2026-10-22) · Orlando Sentinel endorsement: Vote no on Amendments 1 and 2… (2026-09-30) · Sun-Sentinel: Just say no to all three state amendments (or… (2026-09-30) · Not sure who to vote for? Here is our guide to voter guides… (2026-10-23)
- 2026-10-20 Two more newspaper editorial boards recommend a No vote on Amendment 1: TCPalm (Oct. 14), which wrote 'There is no compelling reason to mandate this or centralize power in Tallahassee even more,' and the Palm Beach Post (Oct. 20), which wrote that 'it's not a practical change that belongs in the Florida Constitution.' Quotes are as reported in a USA TODAY Network-Florida roundup; the editorials themselves could not be opened (paywall).
- 2026-10-13 The Miami Herald Editorial Board recommends a No vote on Amendment 1, as part of recommending No on all three amendments.
- 2026-10-17 WUSF/WLRN reported Oct. 15 that Byron Donalds opposes it (per a campaign spokesperson) and David Jolly supports it with guardrails. The Republican Party of Florida supports it and Gov. DeSantis opposes it. The Miami-Dade and Palm Beach County Democratic parties recommend a no vote; Palm Beach Democrats' $16.4 billion figure is the party's own estimate, not an official one. No new lawsuit, organized campaign committee or official fiscal analysis found. A Tampa Bay Times editorial titled 'How to vote on Florida's constitutional amendments' ran Oct. 8, but its recommendations sit behind a paywall and could not be read.
- 2026-10-07 CAMPAIGNS: Republican Party of Florida Chairman Evan Power backs Amendment 1, saying it 'keep[s] Florida prepared for storms, emergencies, and downturns without raising taxes,' while Gov. Ron DeSantis opposes it, having called it a 'foolish constitutional amendment' on Sept. 14, 2026 and argued surpluses should go to tax relief and local grants. Senate President Ben Albritton and House Budget Chairman Lawrence McClure support it; House Democratic Leader Fentrice Driskell and the Florida AFL-CIO oppose it. No Amendment 1 polling or litigation was found. Financial effect: the cap rises from 10% of general revenue (about $4.9 billion) to 25% (about $12.2 billion), with required transfers of the lesser of $750 million or the amount needed to reach the cap; the House Budget Committee called the fiscal impact 'indeterminate but likely insignificant.'
- 2026-09-29 The Republican Party of Florida formally endorsed Amendment 1 on Sept. 15, 2026, putting the party at odds with Gov. Ron DeSantis, who has called the proposal to raise the Budget Stabilization Fund cap from 10% to 25% of general revenue 'foolish' and says surpluses should go to tax cuts instead. Florida TaxWatch recommended a 'yes' vote in its voter guide issued Sept. 18, 2026.
- 2026-09-21 Republican Party of Florida endorsed Amendment 1 (rainy-day fund cap 10% to 25%) on Sept. 14-15; Chair Evan Power: 'Amendment 1 keeps Florida prepared for storms, emergencies, and downturns without raising taxes.' Gov. DeSantis broke with the party on Sept. 15, calling it 'a foolish constitutional amendment proposal' and recommending a NO vote, saying surplus revenue should go to property-tax relief and toll removal instead. Florida TaxWatch recommends YES (Sept. 17), noting the $750 million annual transfer would take about 22 years and $16.4 billion to reach 25%. No September polling on Amendment 1 was found.
Independent analyses
- League of Women Voters of Florida analysis (July 21, 2026; the League has since listed itself as an opponent)Sources: lwvmanatee.org
- VOTE411 (League of Women Voters)Sources: onyourballot.vote411.org
- Bradenton Times explainerSources: thebradentontimes.com
Who supports it, and why
- Republican Party of Florida: Endorsed Amendment 1 in September 2026. Party statement (quoted by WUSF, Sept. 15, 2026): 'This amendment will help strengthen Florida's rainy day fund so the state can handle storms, downturns, and other emergencies without raising taxes or raiding the budget.'Sources: wusf.org · floridianpress.com
- Florida Legislature (bipartisan referral vote): HJR 5019 passed the House 100-1 and the Senate 29-4 on June 16, 2025. Former House Speaker Daniel Perez cited the state's lack of reserves during the 2000s recession as the reason to build a larger cushion (WUSF).Sources: flsenate.gov · wusf.org
- Florida TaxWatch: Recommends a Yes vote; notes the $750 million annual transfer would take about 22 years and $16.4 billion to reach the 25% cap.
Who opposes it, and why
- Gov. Ron DeSantis: On Sept. 14-15, 2026 the governor called Amendment 1 'a foolish constitutional amendment proposal,' said 'we already have a maxed out rainy day fund and have run the largest surpluses in state history,' argued surplus revenue should go to tax cuts and removing tolls, and recommended a NO vote (WUSF, Sept. 15, 2026, fetched).
- House Democratic Leader Fentrice Driskell (legislative debate): Argued the money would be better spent on immediate needs: 'You don't get to talk about saving money for a rainy day when it's still raining, and it's already raining on the people in Florida' (quoted in WFLA/Hoodline coverage; search snippet, Sept. 2026).Sources: wfla.com · hoodline.com
- League of Women Voters of Florida; Florida Education Association: The League's VOTE411 synopsis of the 2026 amendments lists the League of Women Voters of Florida and the Florida Education Association as opponents of Amendment 1.Sources: lwvfl.org
Exemption of Tangible Personal Property on Agricultural Land from Taxation
Official ballot summary
Proposing an amendment to the State Constitution to exempt tangible personal property habitually located or typically present on land classified as agricultural, used in the production of agricultural products or for agritourism activities, and owned by the landowner or leaseholder of the agricultural land from ad valorem taxation. If approved this amendment would first apply for tax years beginning January 1, 2027.
VERIFIED verbatim against the Division of Elections booklet PDF and the Sumter County sample ballot (Sept. 17, 2026). The earlier file was missing the second sentence about the Jan. 1, 2027 effective date; the summary does not mention the Legislature's power to define terms (that appears only in the amendment text).
A "Yes" vote means
A YES vote exempts qualifying tangible personal property (for example tractors, irrigation equipment and other farm machinery) that is normally kept on agricultural land, used to produce agricultural products or for agritourism, and owned by the land's owner or lessee, from county, city, school and special-district property taxes beginning with the 2027 tax year, and lets the Legislature define and limit the exemption by law.
A "No" vote means
A NO vote keeps current law, under which tangible personal property used in agriculture remains subject to local ad valorem taxation (subject to the existing $25,000 tangible personal property exemption).
Estimated fiscal impact
Legislatively referred amendments do not carry a Financial Impact Estimating Conference statement. The Legislature's bill analysis reports that the Revenue Estimating Conference projected no state impact and a negative recurring impact on local government revenues of about $31 million beginning in FY 2027-28 (LWVFL analysis citing the analysis; a Senate analysis snippet gives $31 million in 2027-28, $32.3 million in 2028-29 and $33.6 million in 2029-30). Rep. Anna Eskamani cited roughly $30 million when casting the lone no vote.
Recent developments
- 2026-10-22 The League of Women Voters of Florida's VOTE411 synopsis lists the Florida Education Association and the League of Women Voters of Florida as opponents of Amendment 2. A Hoodline summary of WLRN reporting (Oct. 22) lists these backers: the Florida Fruit & Vegetable Association, the Florida Chamber of Commerce, the Florida Farm Bureau Federation, the National Federation of Independent Business and the state agriculture department. It also gives estimated savings for named farms, for example about $1.2 million a year for Atlantic Sapphire.
- 2026-10-15 Poll: Stetson University (field Oct. 1-9; 716 registered voters within 826 adults; opt-in panel) found Amendment 2 at 56% support, 21% opposed and 23% unsure. Passage requires 60%.
- 2026-09-30 The Orlando Sentinel and South Florida Sun-Sentinel editorial boards recommended No on Amendment 2 (Sept. 30), as did the Miami Herald.
- 2026-10-20 Newspaper editorial boards are split on Amendment 2. TCPalm (Oct. 14) recommends Yes ('agriculture is an essential part of our state's food system, economy and heritage'). The Palm Beach Post (Oct. 20) recommends No, saying 'the Florida Legislature's response has no place in the state constitution.' Quotes are as reported in a USA TODAY Network-Florida roundup; the editorials themselves could not be opened (paywall).
- 2026-10-13 The Miami Herald Editorial Board recommends a No vote on Amendment 2, as part of recommending No on all three amendments.
- 2026-10-17 WUSF/WLRN reported Oct. 15 that a legislative analysis estimates about $31 million a year less local property-tax revenue starting in FY 2027-28. Sponsor Sen. Keith Truenow supports it; the Hillsborough County Democratic Party opposes it. No new lawsuit, organized committee or new official fiscal analysis found.
- 2026-10-07 CAMPAIGNS AND FINANCIAL IMPACT: Agriculture Commissioner Wilton Simpson and the Florida Farm Bureau Federation run the 'Vote Yes on Amendment 2' campaign, joined by the Republican Party of Florida; House sponsor Rep. Danny Alvarez argued 'You already bought it. You already paid for it. Why are you paying the government?' Rep. Anna Eskamani, D-Orlando, the only legislator to vote against placing it on the ballot (it passed 110-1 in the House and 37-0 in the Senate), said it would mostly benefit a handful of large agribusinesses and that 'this approach is not targeted enough to earn my support.' The Revenue Estimating Conference projects local governments and schools would lose about $31.0 million in FY 2027-28, rising to about $33.6 million by FY 2029-30. No Amendment 2 polling or litigation was found.
- 2026-09-29 Florida TaxWatch recommended a 'yes' vote on Amendment 2 in its 2026 voter guide (Sept. 18, 2026). The Republican Party of Florida reiterated its support on Sept. 15, 2026, saying it had endorsed the measure the previous year. No organized opposition campaign has surfaced. State estimates put the cost to local governments at about $31 million in the first year, rising to $34 million by the third.
- 2026-09-21 Florida Farm Bureau Federation launched a 'Vote YES on 2' campaign (Sept. 11), calling the tax on farm equipment double taxation. Florida TaxWatch recommends YES (Sept. 17); its guide cites the state estimate of about $31.0 million in lost local/school revenue in FY 2027-28, rising to $33.6 million by year three. No organized opposition, court action or polling was found.
Independent analyses
- League of Women Voters of Florida analysis (no position on Amendment 2)Sources: lwvmanatee.org
- Bradenton Times explainerSources: thebradentontimes.com
Who supports it, and why
- Florida Farm Bureau Federation: 'Vote YES on Amendment 2' (Sept. 11, 2026): 'Florida farmers and ranchers pay annual taxes on farm equipment that was already taxed when it was purchased.' The Farm Bureau says the exemption covers equipment, not land or buildings, and that 'reducing the cost of doing business for Florida farmers and ranchers would protect local food production, preserve family farms and keep Florida agriculture strong for future generations.' (page fetched Sept. 17, 2026)Sources: floridafarmbureau.org
- Florida Agriculture Commissioner Wilton Simpson: Called Amendment 2 'a pivotal step towards securing the permanent future of agriculture in Florida' that would eliminate 'burdensome multiple taxation of agricultural production.'Sources: mynews13.com
- Florida Legislature (sponsor Rep. Danny Alvarez; near-unanimous referral): The sponsor argued the exemption removes a financial barrier for farmers and lets them reinvest in operations (Ballotpedia snippet); the joint resolution passed 110-1 and 37-0.Sources: flsenate.gov · ballotpedia.org
- Florida TaxWatch: Recommends a Yes vote; cites the state estimate of about $31.0 million in lost local and school revenue in FY 2027-28, rising to $33.6 million by the third year.
Who opposes it, and why
- Rep. Anna Eskamani (D-Orlando): Cast the only vote against HJR 1215, saying it would cost local governments about $30 million with no guardrails to prevent windfalls and would mostly benefit large agribusinesses with multiple tangible-property accounts (Ballotpedia snippet).Sources: ballotpedia.org
- League of Women Voters of Florida; Florida Education Association: The League's VOTE411 synopsis of the 2026 amendments lists the League of Women Voters of Florida and the Florida Education Association as opponents of Amendment 2.Sources: lwvfl.org
Increased Homestead Exemption; Lower Cap on Increases in Non-Homestead Property Assessments
Originally titled "Save Our Homes From Excessive Property Taxes". A Leon County circuit judge (David Frank) ruled Aug. 3-4, 2026 that the original title ('Save Our Homes From Excessive Property Taxes') and summary were misleading and not neutral; the state chose not to appeal, the Attorney General released rewritten language Aug. 13-14, 2026, and the Division of Elections booklet updated Aug. 21, 2026 and the Sumter County sample ballot both carry the rewritten title and summary (verified Sept. 17, 2026). floridaphoenix.com · floridapolitics.com · floridaphoenix.com · wflx.com · joneswalker.com · cbs12.com
Official ballot summary
This amendment increases the homestead exemption, for all non-school taxes, to $150,000 in 2027 and $250,000 in 2028, and adjusts for inflation thereafter. It requires the Legislature to prescribe a uniform procedure for counties and municipalities, for their respective levies, to increase the homestead exemption up to full assessed value, and allows special districts, subject to referendum approval, to do the same. Persons who are not Florida residents on December 31, 2026, will receive the existing homestead exemption upon qualifying for a homestead exemption, with the increased homestead exemption beginning with the fifth year of exemption, to the extent permitted by the U.S. Constitution. This amendment reduces the annual cap on assessment increases for non-homestead properties from 10% to 5%. This amendment requires counties and municipalities to use property taxes solely for public safety, education and schools, infrastructure, natural resources, bond debt service, retirement benefits for employees, and operations and administration. Other expenditures may be approved by county officers or county or municipal governing bodies unless prohibited by general law, notwithstanding Article VII, Section 9(a) of the Florida Constitution, which allows counties and municipalities to levy property taxes for their respective purposes. This amendment takes effect January 1, 2027.
VERIFIED verbatim (five paragraphs) against the Division of Elections booklet PDF and the Sumter County sample ballot (Sept. 17, 2026). The earlier file omitted the fourth paragraph (restricting what counties and municipalities may spend property taxes on) and the effective-date sentence; both are on the official ballot.
A "Yes" vote means
A YES vote raises the homestead exemption that applies to county, city and special-district (non-school) taxes from the current $50,000 to $150,000 in 2027 and $250,000 in 2028, indexed to inflation afterward; requires the Legislature to set a uniform procedure by which counties and cities may raise the exemption for their own levies up to a home's full assessed value, and lets special districts do the same with voter approval; phases the larger exemption in for people who are not Florida residents on Dec. 31, 2026 (they get the existing exemption first and the increased exemption starting in their fifth year of exemption); lowers the annual assessment-increase cap on non-homestead property (rentals, second homes, businesses) from 10% to 5%; and limits county and municipal property-tax spending to public safety, education and schools, infrastructure, natural resources, bond debt service, employee retirement benefits, and operations and administration, with other spending allowed if approved by county officers or governing bodies unless general law prohibits it. Takes effect Jan. 1, 2027. The $25,000 school-tax exemption and the existing 3% Save Our Homes assessment cap for homesteads are unchanged.
A "No" vote means
A NO vote leaves the current homestead exemption (up to $50,000, of which $25,000 applies to school taxes), the existing Save Our Homes 3% cap, and the 10% non-homestead assessment cap in place.
Estimated fiscal impact
Florida's Revenue Estimating Conference (state economists) projected the amendment would reduce local non-school property tax collections by about $4.9-5.0 billion in FY 2027-28, $8.8 billion in FY 2028-29, $9.7 billion in FY 2029-30 and $10.7 billion in FY 2030-31, with a recurring impact of about $11.86 billion a year when fully phased in (LWVFL analysis; Florida Chamber; Florida TaxWatch). Sumter County: the Florida Association of Counties' county-by-county table (June 2026, county levies only) estimates -$24.9 million in FY 2027-28 and -$45.1 million in FY 2028-29 for Sumter County ($24.3M/$43.8M from the homestead exemption plus $0.6M/$1.3M from the 5% cap); County Administrator Bradley Arnold told commissioners in July 2026 the county could lose about $16 million the first year and $45 million the second (Villages-News, July 12, 2026). The Legislature's staff analysis (h0001z.SAC, June 16, 2026) accompanies CS/HJR 1F.
Recent developments
- 2026-10-14 PolitiFact reviewed competing claims about public-safety funding and gave no rating. It concluded that the amendment does not guarantee police, fire or EMS funding; it quoted the Tax Foundation's Jared Walczak ('The provision doesn't appear to restrict how property tax revenue can be spent in any meaningful way') and a Florida League of Cities finding that 85 cities could not fund public safety at current levels.
- 2026-10-25 Florida Policy Institute, which has helped fund the opposition campaign, released an estimate that Children's Services Councils and trusts in 14 counties could lose about $100 million in FY 2027-28 and $278 million over two years; MomsRising also opposes the amendment. Vote Yes on 3 chair Margy Grant says the average homeowner would see 'more than $1,000 in property tax savings' in 2027.
- 2026-10-26 Opponents held a Tampa news conference on Oct. 26 with Polk Sheriff Grady Judd and Florida Professional Firefighters president Wayne Bernoska. Judd: 'Amendment 3 is the wrong solution to the right issue.' Supporter Rep. Toby Overdorf (R-Stuart): 'I think long term, if in fact this does pass, the sheriffs will be just fine.'
- 2026-10-23 Money (Florida Division of Elections reports through Oct. 23): Vote Yes on 3 (chair Margaret Grant) raised $21,516,510 (Florida Realtors plus $2,016,500 from the National Association of Realtors on Oct. 9; nothing new after Oct. 9) and spent $20,316,080, mostly payments to SGS Inc. Opposing committees: Floridians for Shared Prosperity raised $794,976 (plus $27,734 in-kind) and spent $527,937, including $302,100 from the Hopewell Fund on Oct. 19 and $200,000 from Scott Barancik in early October. Vote No on 3 Florida raised $512,931 and spent $456,612.
- 2026-09-24 The Orlando Sentinel and South Florida Sun-Sentinel editorial boards recommended No on Amendment 3 in a joint editorial ('If you do nothing else at the polls this November, vote no on Amendment 3'), dated Sept. 19 (Sun-Sentinel) and Sept. 24 (Orlando Sentinel).
- 2026-10-26 New editorial recommendations, all No: TCPalm (Oct. 14; 'we would limit the rights we have, through local officials, to control our taxes and services'), the Palm Beach Post (Oct. 20; 'the cost to local governments threaten to eat into any perceived savings by homeowners') and the Charlotte Sun (Oct. 26; 'the haste in writing Amendment 3 left too many questions unanswered'). The TCPalm and Post quotes come from a USA TODAY Network-Florida roundup; the Charlotte Sun editorial was read directly.Sources: How to vote on Amendment 3, according to 5 Florida newspape… (2026-10-21) · TCPalm Editorial Board general election recommendations (or… (2026-10-14) · Palm Beach Post editorial: Florida voters should reject ame… (2026-10-20) · EDITORIAL: Amendment 3 is not the answer - Charlotte Sun (2026-10-26)
- 2026-10-23 Poll: a survey of 760 likely Hispanic voters (Oct. 14-18) by pollster David Wolfson for HispanicVotes.org, a group founded by Republican National Hispanic Assembly officer Barbara Casanova, reported that 72% wanted lower property taxes. WLRN's report gave no yes/no result for Amendment 3 and no margin of error.
- 2026-10-21 Poll: University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab (field Oct. 12-19; 1,471 likely voters; phone, English and Spanish; +/-2.81 points) found 50% yes, 35% no and 14% don't know (crosstab table; the release text says 30% no). By party: Republicans 64% yes, unaffiliated 50% yes, Democrats 32% yes. Respondents heard a shortened description, not the full ballot text.
- 2026-10-21 Gov. DeSantis held a roundtable for Amendment 3 at the Miami-Dade Sheriff's Office on Oct. 21, saying 'Amendment 3 creates a path to full elimination of property taxes for homesteaded Floridians.' Miami-Dade Sheriff Rosie Cordero-Stutz backed it ('tax relief and public safety are not competing priorities'). Miami-Dade Mayor Daniella Levine Cava opposes it and estimates county losses of $378 million in the first year and nearly $700 million in the second.
- 2026-10-02 Former Senate President Kathleen Passidomo (R-Naples), who voted to place the measure on the ballot, told a Greater Naples Chamber event on Sept. 30 that she will vote against it: 'I think it is a well-intentioned bill, but you know, the road to hell is paved with them.'
- 2026-10-21 Senate President Ben Albritton (R-Wauchula), who presided over the Senate that placed Amendment 3 on the ballot, said he will vote no: 'Amendment 3 would eliminate up to 30% of resources for Florida's rural counties' and 'Tax relief shouldn't fall hardest on the communities least able to absorb it.' He pointed to the 2027 Taxation and Budget Reform Commission as a better venue for the issue. Gov. DeSantis responded that support for the measure is 'bottom up, it's not top down.' The Florida Sheriffs Association and Sheriff Grady Judd publicized Albritton's statement.
- 2026-10-13 The Miami Herald Editorial Board recommends a No vote on Amendment 3, as part of recommending No on all three amendments.
- 2026-10-18 Sierra Club Florida recommends a No vote on Amendment 3 on its 2026 endorsement page.
- 2026-10-17 (1) Money: the National Association of Realtors gave $2,016,500 on Oct. 9, bringing the Vote Yes on 3 committee to $21.5 million (all earlier money came from Florida Realtors). The two opposing committees reported $537,357 combined through Sept. 25. (2) Polls: St. Pete Polls (Oct. 5-7) 42% yes; Mason-Dixon (Sept. 28-Oct. 1) 55%; JMI (Sept. 28-Oct. 4) 63% of likely voters; McLaughlin for Associated Industries of Florida (Sept. 28-Oct. 1, released ~Oct. 13) 53%; Stetson (Oct. 1-9) 56% yes, 21% no; EDGE/MDW (Oct. 4-10) 50%. Passage needs 60%. (3) Candidates: Donalds still backs it but said courts may strike the five-year waiting period for new residents; Jolly opposes it. (4) Fiscal estimate unchanged: state economists project $4.95 billion less local non-school revenue in FY 2027-28, rising to $11.86 billion a year. No new lawsuit found since Oct. 6; the earlier ballot-language case ended with the attorney general rewriting the language in August under court order. Opposition continues from the Florida Sheriffs Association, FOP, Professional Firefighters, Florida TaxWatch and local business groups.Sources: National Association of Realtors helps push pro-Amendment 3… (2026-10-17) · Going the wrong way: Amendment 3's $250K homestead exemptio… (2026-10-08) · Byron Donalds 52%, David Jolly 42% in JMI poll as Blaise In… (2026-10-09) · Amendment 3 support insufficient among informed voters, AIF… (2026-10-14) · Stetson University poll shows support for Amendment 3 short… (2026-10-14) · Poll: Amendment 3's fate rides on undecided voters as suppo… (2026-10-14) · Realtor.com economist's price warning complicates Florida R… (2026-10-13) · Byron Donalds wants to move beyond 'one size fits all' prop… (2026-10-14) · With Election Day Looming, Polls Differ on Florida Property… (2026-10-14)
- 2026-10-07 CANDIDATE POSITIONS: Donalds says he will vote yes ('It's not our money. It belongs to the citizen.'); Jolly says he will vote no, arguing it would 'defund law enforcement along with critical services,' and would target relief at first-time homebuyers and seniors instead.
- 2026-10-07 SUPPORT CAMPAIGN: Gov. Ron DeSantis continues to defend the measure, telling an audience at Palm Beach State College on Sept. 24, 2026 that 'Taxpayers are the bedrock of the communities' and that commercial property owners would have 'less exposure on the business side if three passes than you do today.' Palm Beach County Administrator Joe Abruzzo said the county could lose nearly $250 million a year and called it 'not a tax decrease; it's simply a tax shift.' Florida TaxWatch published a savings calculator; news outlets put typical annual savings at roughly $1,100 in 2027 and $2,200-$2,400 in 2028 in Central Florida cities.
- 2026-10-07 OPPOSITION CAMPAIGN (law enforcement): the Florida Sheriffs Association, Florida State Fraternal Order of Police, Florida Professional Firefighters and Florida Fire Chiefs Association are running television ads and a video featuring Sheriffs Grady Judd, Bob Gualtieri and John Mina. Florida Sheriffs Association President and Marion County Sheriff Billy Woods calls the amendment 'a hidden way of defunding the police.' Cited local figures include a $134 million two-year loss in Sarasota County (about $54.2 million from the Sheriff's Office), $498.65 million over five years in Manatee County, $422 million over two years across law-enforcement MSTUs in 13 counties, and $5.4 million in Venice. Gov. Ron DeSantis dismissed the warnings as 'fear-mongering' and suggested state grants could fill gaps.
- 2026-10-07 OPPOSITION CAMPAIGN (new tool): the Florida Policy Institute launched a public county-by-county calculator on Sept. 29, 2026 at amendment3.floridapolicyinstitute.org, projecting $46 billion in lost local revenue over five years and letting voters look up projected losses by ZIP code, county or service (e.g. more than $971 million in combined first-two-year impacts in Hillsborough County). Research director Esteban Santis described the methodology; a Tampa real estate agent countered that Hillsborough property-tax receipts have roughly doubled since 2018.
- 2026-10-07 MONEY: the yes campaign had raised $18 million through Sept. 25, 2026, all of it from the Florida Association of Realtors, against a combined $537,357 for the two opposing committees, Floridians for Shared Prosperity and Vote No on 3 Florida — a roughly 33-to-1 advantage.
- 2026-10-07 LITIGATION: no new Amendment 3 litigation was found between Sept. 28 and Oct. 7, 2026, and nothing new on ballot language. The existing record stands: three suits (Save Our Voters; former South Miami Mayor Philip Stoddard; former legislators Jeff Brandes and Al Lawson) led to an Aug. 4, 2026 circuit-court ruling that the title 'Save Our Homes From Excessive Property Taxes' and the summary's claims were misleading, ordering Uthmeier to rewrite them; the revised language, 'Increased Homestead Exemption; Lower Cap on Increases in Non-Homestead Property Assessments,' was finished on about Aug. 14, 2026. The measure could not be removed from the ballot.
- 2026-10-07 FINANCIAL IMPACT: the Legislature's Revenue Estimating Conference puts the recurring cost at about $12 billion a year, with local property-tax revenue falling $4.939 billion in 2027 and $8.714 billion in 2028, rising to $11.835 billion by 2031. The measure also requires local governments to spend remaining property-tax money on specified 'core services' and makes people who become Florida residents after Jan. 1, 2027 wait five years for the larger exemption.
- 2026-10-07 POLLING: no new Amendment 3 poll was published between Sept. 28 and Oct. 7, 2026. The most recent numbers remain St. Pete Polls (released Sept. 22-23; 913 likely voters, +/-3.2) at 45% yes, 30% no, 25% undecided — 15 points short of the 60% required — and Stetson University (830 Floridians, field Sept. 14-21) at just over 50% yes, 25% no, 24% undecided. The NBC 6/Telemundo Mason-Dixon survey taken Sept. 28-Oct. 1 and released Oct. 6 reported only the Governor and Senate numbers.
- 2026-09-29 The amendment has become a dividing line in the statewide races. Donalds said on Sept. 23, 2026 that he will vote yes and described eliminating homestead property taxes as a long-term goal; Jolly said he opposes it but would respect the result, and is instead proposing a first-time homebuyer break. CFO Blaise Ingoglia has campaigned for it, arguing local governments can absorb the loss.
- 2026-09-29 No new court action: the August 2026 Leon County ruling that forced a rewrite of the ballot title and summary was not appealed, and the court-ordered title 'Increased Homestead Exemption; Lower Cap on Increases in Non-Homestead Property Assessments' is what voters will see. Nothing new was found between Sept. 20 and Sept. 29, 2026.
- 2026-09-29 The Republican Party of Florida endorsed Amendment 3 on Sept. 15, 2026, with Chairman Evan Power saying 'Floridians work hard for what they have. Government should not spend it all and then come back for more.' The organized opposition, which now includes the Florida Library Association, the Florida Association of Special Districts, the Federation of Manufactured Home Owners of Florida and the League of Women Voters of Florida, campaigns under the slogan 'you will pay more while they pay less.'
- 2026-09-29 Legislative analysts project the measure would cut local non-school property tax revenue by about $4.95 billion in 2027-28 and $8.78 billion in 2028-29; the state Revenue Estimating Conference has put the eventual recurring cost near $12 billion. Orange County says it could lose $275 million a year by 2028 and Seminole County says up to 20% of its revenue is at risk; Kissimmee, Winter Springs and Apopka have frozen non-essential hiring.
- 2026-09-29 Gov. Ron DeSantis is publicly urging a 'yes' vote while law-enforcement groups campaign against it. DeSantis said on Sept. 18, 2026: 'But if you don't get this one passed, they're not going to give you any relief on property tax.' The Florida Sheriffs Association is running ads saying 'We want a tax cut too, but Amendment 3 is the wrong way to do it,' and Polk County Sheriff Grady Judd called the measure 'a train wreck.' The Florida State Fraternal Order of Police and Florida Professional Firefighters also oppose it.
- 2026-09-29 Florida TaxWatch came out against Amendment 3 in the voter guide it issued Sept. 18, 2026, warning the measure would 'worsen' the existing shift of property taxes from homesteads onto non-homestead property and that, without spending controls, lost homestead revenue 'will simply be passed on to non-homestead property owners or replaced with other taxes.' It recommended 'yes' on Amendments 1 and 2.
- 2026-09-29 Polling continues to show Amendment 3 short of the 60% needed. A St. Pete Polls survey of 913 likely voters taken Sept. 15-17, 2026 found 45% support, about 30% opposed and 25% undecided (margin of error 3.2 points). A Stetson University survey taken Sept. 14-21 and reported Sept. 25 found 50% support, 25% opposed and 24% undecided.
- 2026-09-21 Polling: St. Pete Polls (Sept. 15-17, 913 LV) found 45% support, 30% oppose, 25% undecided, 15 points below the 60% threshold (Republicans 63% yes; independents 40-32; Democrats 48% no). Supporters: Florida Realtors launched a 'Vote Yes on 3' committee with $10 million (Sept. 9-16); Republican Party of Florida endorsed (Sept. 14-15); Gov. DeSantis said he will campaign for it while admitting 'I don't know if it's going to pass with 60%'; Byron Donalds is voting yes. Opponents: Florida Sheriffs Association launched a TV ad campaign ('rips out' public-safety funding) with the Florida Police Chiefs Association and Florida Professional Firefighters (press conference Sept. 15-16; Sheriff Grady Judd: '911, what is your emergency? Amendment 3'); Florida TaxWatch recommends NO (Sept. 17-18), citing a $45.8 billion five-year local revenue cut and a tax shift to non-homestead property; American Planning Association Florida opposes; David Jolly says the math does not work. Financial impact per TaxWatch/Legislature: $4.94 billion (2027) and $8.71 billion (2028) in local non-school revenue; average homeowner saves $1,035 (2027) and $2,085 (2028). Court: a Leon County judge ordered the ballot title/summary rewritten Aug. 4 and the state filed revised language Aug. 13-14; no appeal or new ruling was found in September.Sources: New Poll Shows Homestead Exemption Amendment 15 Points Shor… (2026-09-18) · DeSantis raises doubts about Amendment 3 as new poll shows … (2026-09-18) · Florida GOP endorses Amendment 3 - American Planning Associ… (2026-09-16) · Florida Realtors launch campaign urging voters to support A… (2026-09-16) · Public safety leaders urge Floridians to vote no on Amendme… (2026-09-16) · Florida Sheriff's Association launches ad campaign against … (2026-09-15) · Gov. DeSantis, sheriffs clash over Amendment 3 as poll show… (2026-09) · Florida TaxWatch urges 'No' vote on Amendment 3 - WUSF (2026-09-20) · The Florida Taxpayer's Guide for the 2026 Constitutional Am… (2026-09-17) · Floridians to weigh in on the state's financial future with… (2026-09-21) · Florida governor candidates differ on AI, data centers and … (2026-09-17)
Independent analyses
- Florida TaxWatch (states it does not support or oppose ballot measures; its property-tax page calls the 'hurried evaluation and adoption' of the proposal 'unwise and unnecessary' and notes the Legislature lacked the revenue estimate when it voted)Sources: floridataxwatch.org
- Florida TaxWatch Property Tax Resource CenterSources: floridataxwatch.org
- Florida Chamber of Commerce explainer (no formal position; earlier warned lawmakers a shift of the tax burden to non-homestead property 'will likely result in higher prices, fewer new jobs, lessened services and/or diminished investment'; CEO Mark Wilson expects the 2027 Tax and Budget Reform Commission to look at further proposals for 2028)Sources: flchamber.com
- Florida Policy Institute ballot-language summary and county impactsSources: floridapolicy.org
- Tax FoundationSources: taxfoundation.org
- Pinellas County Property Appraiser FAQSources: pcpao.gov
- Orange County Government explainerSources: ocfl.net
- Americans for Prosperity-Florida: no published position on Amendments 1-3 found in searches as of Sept. 17, 2026Sources: americansforprosperity.org
Who supports it, and why
- Florida Realtors ('Vote Yes on 3' campaign): Launched the Vote Yes on 3 campaign Sept. 9, 2026 (reported with a $10 million commitment). 2026 president Chuck Bonfiglio Jr.: 'Affordability is on the forefront for every Floridian, and they need meaningful relief.' The association says the amendment 'offers voters an opportunity to provide meaningful property tax relief while strengthening Florida's commitment to attainable homeownership.'
- Republican Party of Florida: Endorsed Amendment 3 (with Amendment 1) in September 2026. Chair Evan Power: 'Floridians work hard for what they have. Government should not spend it all.' (WLRN, Sept. 16, 2026)Sources: wlrn.org · floridianpress.com
- Gov. Ron DeSantis: Called the June 2026 special session that produced CS/HJR 1F and has said he will promote the measure (WLRN, Sept. 16, 2026); he has also said the final version 'wasn't my proposal' (CBS Miami, search snippet).
- Florida Legislature (sponsor: House State Affairs Committee / Rep. Overdorf): House leadership sponsored the joint resolution to lock a larger homestead exemption into the constitution, slow assessment growth on non-homestead property and limit what local property taxes may fund; it passed 75-26 and 30-9.Sources: flhouse.gov
Who opposes it, and why
- League of Women Voters of Florida: Formally opposed Amendment 3 on Aug. 24, 2026, citing its positions against restricting revenue through the constitution and in favor of local home rule. President Jessica Lowe-Minor: 'We don't want to put our communities and the services we love at risk because of a confusing ballot amendment.' The League's July 2026 analysis lists local governments, libraries, special districts and renters among those affected.Sources: lwvspa.org · lwvmanatee.org
- Florida League of Cities: Says 'Amendment 3 is not a tax cut, it's a tax shift': when property-tax revenue drops, costs for public safety, stormwater and roads move to 'renters, businesses, and the neighbors who didn't get the break.' Lobbyist Matt Singer (July 9, 2026): 'One person's tax exemption is another person's tax increase'; the League says 85 of 411 municipalities could not fund public safety under a $250,000 exemption. City-by-city impact packets, including Bushnell and Wildwood, are posted on its property-tax page.Sources: flcities.com · tampabaybeacons.com
- Florida Association of Counties: Published county-by-county revenue-loss estimates (Sumter County: about $24.9 million in FY 2027-28 and $45.1 million in FY 2028-29 for county levies) and warned that the 29 fiscally constrained counties could lose a fifth to a third of their revenue; the LWVFL analysis lists FAC among opponents. FAC's readers guide itself presents the figures as a baseline impact assessment without a formal vote recommendation.
- Florida Policy Institute: Its voter guide (updated Sept. 15, 2026) says the amendment would cut nearly $12 billion a year in recurring local revenue, that local governments would face service cuts, higher taxes and fees, or both, and that renters, consumers and small businesses would bear shifted costs; it notes roughly 3 million renter households get no direct benefit.Sources: floridapolicy.org · floridapolicy.org
- Florida Sheriffs Association: Said it is 'significantly concerned' that the revenue loss could affect funding for law enforcement and other county services without a replacement revenue source.Sources: clickorlando.com · floridaphoenix.com
- Polk County Sheriff Grady Judd: Called the amendment 'a train wreck' at an August 2026 news conference, warning of cuts to public-safety budgets.Sources: wtxl.com
- Florida State Fraternal Order of Police; Florida Professional Firefighters; Florida Fire Chiefs Association: Formally opposed or warned against the amendment, citing the risk to police, fire and EMS funding without a replacement revenue source.Sources: wptv.com · clickorlando.com
- American Planning Association, Florida Chapter: Opposes the amendment; president Allara Mills-Gutcher said the chapter supports tax relief in principle but 'there was a decision made to put it on the ballot without any kind of analysis, without any kind of data' (WLRN, Sept. 16, 2026).Sources: wlrn.org
- Miami-Dade Mayor Daniella Levine Cava: Reported in September 2026 to be leading a 'No on 3' effort, arguing the cut would hollow out local budgets.Sources: politicalcortadito.com
- Other opponents listed by the LWVFL analysis (July 21, 2026): The League's analysis lists Florida PTA, Florida Education Association, SEIU Florida, Florida Rising, Florida For All, Southern Poverty Law Center, the Tax Foundation, 'Vote No On 3' and the editorial boards of the Wall Street Journal, Miami Herald, Orlando Sentinel, Palm Beach Post and Sun-Sentinel among opponents; these were not individually verified in this pass.Sources: lwvmanatee.org
- Florida TaxWatch: Recommends a No vote, citing a $45.8 billion five-year cut in local revenue and a shift of the tax burden to non-homestead property.
- Senate President Ben Albritton (R-Wauchula): Voted to put Amendment 3 on the ballot but said on Oct. 21-22, 2026 he will vote no, saying it 'would eliminate up to 30% of resources for Florida's rural counties.'Sources: cbs12.com
- Former Senate President Kathleen Passidomo (R-Naples): Voted to put the measure on the ballot but told a Greater Naples Chamber event on Sept. 30, 2026 that she will vote against it, citing the effect on local governments.Sources: gulfshorebusiness.com · flaglerlive.com